24-12-24
# NES
– After the SDF surprise counter attack in Manbij countryside, partly possible due to the rainy weather where turkish drones can’t operate well, SDF is reorganizing new defense lines. Ferhat Shami, media responsible of SDF said:
“Our forces confronted an attack by SNA this morning on the village of “Qabr Imo” east of Manbij city, where violent clashes are currently taking place.
In the area of Qozak Bridge, our forces blew up a SNA vehicle.
In the axis of Tishrin Dam, the forces of the MMC thwarted an attack by the mercenaries on the villages of Abu “Qalqal” district, where dozens of mercenaries were killed and wounded. The forces also took control of two tanks, an artillery weapon with its ammunition, in addition to destroying some military vehicles belonging to the mercenaries. The clashes in those areas are ongoing.”
– White Helmet Units proclaimed their arrival in Manbij. White Helmets are a humanitarian and rescue organisation that opperated from Turkey and worked in Syrian opposition controlled areas. It was founded in 2014 by James Le Mesurier, a british ex-officer who died in Istanbul in 2019.
– In Manbij city a car bomb exploded in front of the recruitment office of the Turkish led SNA. Dead and wounded SNA fighters confirmed. No one has claimed such action yet.
– US army is patrolling in Kobane city, aiming to divert the turkish agressions.
– Several villages are constantly under mortar and drone attacks in the M4 front lines, both in Ain Issa and in Til Temir areas. 2 SDF fighters were injured today on a drone strike in Um al-Keif, less than 20km away from Til Temir.
# Syria
– Syria’s de facto leader Ahmed al-Sharaa anounced an agreement with rebel faction leaders to dissolve all groups and consolidate them under the Defence Ministry, according to a statement from the new Syrian general administration.
– Turkeish State claims that more than 25,000 Syrians have returned home from Turkey since Assad was overthrown. Turkey has been the main destination for Syrians who fleed the war, with estimations of 3 million people, followed by Germany and then Lebanon with almost 1 million each of them. Europe sheltered in total less than 2 milions.
# Forgein policy
– UN Envoy warns of “dramatic consequences” for Syria if tensions in the north remain unresolved.
– A powerful blast happen in an ammunitions and explosives plant in northwest Turkey, with at least 12 dead an a dozen more injured. The cause was not known, some turkish authorities suggested sabotage and an investigation is ongoing.
# International Solidarity
– Across the border of Kobane, members of the DEM party are protesting the looming turkish invasion with a sit-in.
– Donations of 300.000€ have reached Heyva Sor. We want to pass on the gratitude of our Heyva Sor friends, who have been working tirelessly to take care of the refugees from Shehba and Aleppo.
– Alexandra Cordebard, Mayor of Paris’s 10th district, honours the Kurdish community, calling for justice and solidarity on the anniversary of the Second Paris Massacre.
# Analysis
HTS is consolidating their power, announcing the disarmament of different factions and their integration into a new national army, under control of the provisional ministery of defense. The provisional goverment is also making concessions with Christian communities, that organized big protests in Damascus after the arson attack on a christmas tree in Hama. It looks a bit weird for us to see their demonstrations, marching and holding corsses above their heads, playing with the hegemony of christianity of western powers as a tool of deterence.
Anyway, it worked. Ahmed al-Sharaa anounced that those who burned the tree were not Syrians, and that there is no place in the new Syria for them. He learned fast to speak the language on western nation-states, using racism and xenophobia to blame the other, to pin any crimes and problems on some external threat, closing ranks under one flag, one nation, one state. But it really seems that those who burned the tree where not Syrians, but Chechens, Islamist veterans that were counted among the elite fighters of the now dispursed al-Nusra front. As Mussolini did one century ago, when he dumped his loyal ‘fascio di combatimento’ paramilitaries once he got to the italian parliament, al-Sharaa is now purging the ranks of HTS to consolidate his power.
But let’s not get lost in history. The important news for us are happening here, next to the Eufrates river. The counter-offensive on Manbij yesterday night had been an important victory, redefining the dynamics of the SNA-SDF ongoing conflict. It proved that SNA stands no chance against SDF without Turkish drones in the sky. It also means that, from now on, every time it rains, SNA mercenaries will be exposed to new SDF counter-offensives.
For those who had been in Rojava for some time, we remember how the Turkish offensives of 2018 and 2019 advanced ruthlessly to fulfil their aims (first Afrin, later Serekaniye and Gire Spi). Back then, they had green light of Russia and US to do as they wanted. Now, with Russia absent and US waiting for Trump to return to the white house, there is a window of opportunity where SDF can use the rainy days to push back. The first counter-offensive in Manbij has been a success, not just on a military level but also on a psycological level, showing that the revolutionary forces are ready to defend their land. This has sent a clear message: Kobane is a red line. If anyone mess with it, the spirit of the resistance that broke the advance of ISIS will once again burst free!
Revolutionary greetings!